On Monday Night, the Falcons will battle the division rival Saints. The Saints are perfect not only straight up this season, but also come in perfect against the spread at 6-0. The Saints are double digit favorites, with the current line showing a -12 at sports books on the net. The total sits at 55 points, as this game may see some fireworks with two high powered offenses.
The Saints have scored nearly 40 points per game on average. The Falcons are not nearly at that many points on average as they show a low 24 per game on average compared to the Saints. The differential in points scored and allowed shows the Saints at a +18 and Atlanta +5. The betting line shows the near differential in those numbers(13). As a betting expert, I just can not see Atlanta getting destroyed in a must win division game.
On the road or not means nothing in division games. Atlanta has every capability to win this game and I think after the Saints huge comeback win and after the bye, they are way over-valued in this Monday Night contest.
The Falcons have followed up against the spread losses with wins in their following contest. They have been a very reasonable bounce back team, and should put up more than a fight in New Orleans. The Falcons are 8-1 against the spread in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss. The Falcons are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. They are also as mentioned solid after an against the spread loss going 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
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